Kazakhstan is rapidly advancing its renewable energy strategy, with installed capacity expected to surge from about 3.5 GW in 2025 to 12.9 GW by 2035, according to report from GlobalData. This expansion supports the country’s goal of achieving 15 percent renewable electricity generation by 2030 and aligns with its long-term ambition of carbon neutrality by 2060.
Growth will be led by onshore wind and solar PV, which are set to dominate Kazakhstan’s clean energy mix. Onshore wind capacity is projected to rise significantly from 1.9 GW to 8.7 GW by 2035, while solar PV is expected to expand from 1.3 GW to 3.7 GW. These technologies, along with smaller contributions from hydropower and bioenergy, will form the backbone of the country’s energy transition.
Large-scale international collaborations are playing a crucial role in this expansion. TotalEnergies is investing $1.4 billion in the 1 GW Mirny wind project in the Zhambyl region, which will include 160 turbines and a 600 MWh battery energy storage system.
Meanwhile, Masdar plans to develop a 1 GW solar portfolio starting in 2026, with initial power generation expected by 2028. Kazakhstan has also partnered with China on projects exceeding $2 billion, including 1.5 GW of wind and 300 MW of solar capacity.
Additionally, SVEVIND Energy Group is leading the ambitious Hyrasia One initiative, targeting 40 GW of wind and solar capacity to produce green hydrogen at scale.
To ensure grid stability and efficient integration of renewables, Kazakhstan is investing heavily in infrastructure modernization. Kazakhstan Electricity Grid Operating Company (KEGOC) is implementing major upgrades, including a 604-kilometer transmission line under the West Kazakhstan Power System Interconnection Project.
The government is also prioritizing 1.1 GW of energy storage deployment and advanced digital systems to manage intermittent power supply. A newly established Green Energy Corridor with Azerbaijan and Uzbekistan is expected to enable future clean electricity exports to Europe via the Caspian Sea.
Despite the aggressive push toward renewables, Kazakhstan is maintaining a balanced energy mix to ensure reliability. Gas-fired capacity is forecast to reach 12.4 GW by 2035, while coal-fired capacity is expected to rise slightly to 14.7 GW, providing essential baseload power. This dual approach reflects the country’s strategy to strengthen energy security while progressing toward its target of 50 percent renewable generation by 2050.
FASNA SHABEER